Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLumezzane to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.63
Lumezzane vs Renate preview and prediction
The match
Renate travel to Tullio Saleri in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Saturday 15 August (17:00 WAT) to face Lumezzane.
Form guide
Lumezzane's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Cremonese 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Renate's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Casarano 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Lumezzane and 1.1 for Renate. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lumezzane 40%, draw 26%, Renate 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lumezzane 1–1 Renate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lumezzane40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Renate35%fair 2.89 · @2.70
2.29Expected goals
1.19Lumezzane xG
1.09Renate xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.2 – 1.1 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lumezzane to win✗
40%
2.52
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.63
–
Form
Lumezzane – last 6
DLWDWL
1 Aug
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
6 May
@ Cittadella
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Novara
3–1
W
28 Mar
vs Albinoleffe
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Pro Patria
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Renate – last 6
LDWDDW
13 May
vs Casarano
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Trento
3–3
D
13 Apr
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Lecco
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lumezzane and Renate.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Renate?
On our numbers Lumezzane have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Renate 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Renate?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lumezzane vs Renate?
Lumezzane vs Renate (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arzignano Valchiampo2
Albinoleffe1
Campobasso FC2
Cavese0
Athletic Carpi3
Pianese2
Cittadella2
Atalanta II2
Livorno3
Reggiana1
Perugia1
Vis Pesaro2
Salernitana1
Scafatese2