Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Pianese to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Carpi to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.08
Athletic Carpi vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
Athletic Carpi host Pianese in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Form guide
Athletic Carpi's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Mantova 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pianese's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Lecco 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Athletic Carpi and 1.1 for Pianese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Pianese to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Athletic Carpi 1–1 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Carpi38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Pianese37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
2.29Expected goals
1.15Athletic Carpi xG
1.14Pianese xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.2 – 1.1 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Carpi to win✓
38%
2.62
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Carpi / FT Athletic Carpi✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.08
–
Form
Athletic Carpi – last 6
WWWDLW
9 Aug
@ Mantova
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Pontedera
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Torres
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Gubbio
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bra
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pianese – last 6
DWWLDW
13 May
@ Lecco
1–1
D
6 May
@ Juventus U23
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Ternana
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Campobasso FC
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Forli
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Pineto
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Pianese.
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pianese 37%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Athletic Carpi 1–1 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?
Athletic Carpi vs Pianese (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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