Value bet: Reggiana to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReggiana to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Livorno vs Reggiana preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie C sees Livorno take on Reggiana on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Form guide
Livorno's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Empoli 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Reggiana's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Sampdoria 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Livorno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Livorno and 1.6 for Reggiana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Livorno 22%, draw 22%, Reggiana 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Reggiana to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Livorno 0–1 Reggiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livorno22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Reggiana56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
2.57Expected goals
0.92Livorno xG
1.65Reggiana xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Livorno 0.9 – 1.6 Reggiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reggiana to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reggiana / FT Reggiana✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Livorno – last 6
DWWWDL
8 Aug
vs Empoli
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Pontedera
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Gubbio
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Forli
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Perugia
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Reggiana – last 6
WLLDLD
8 May
vs Sampdoria
1–0
W
1 May
@ Modena
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Pescara
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs Monza
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Sudtirol
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Avellino
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livorno and Reggiana.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Livorno vs Reggiana?
On our numbers Livorno have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Reggiana 56%.
How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Reggiana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livorno vs Reggiana?
Our predicted score is Livorno 0–1 Reggiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Livorno vs Reggiana?
Livorno vs Reggiana (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arzignano Valchiampo2
Albinoleffe1
Lumezzane2
Renate2
Campobasso FC2
Cavese0
Athletic Carpi3
Pianese2
Cittadella2
Atalanta II2
Perugia1
Vis Pesaro2
Salernitana1
Scafatese2