Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 56% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +68%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.00
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Cittadella vs Atalanta II preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie C sees Cittadella take on Atalanta II on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Form guide
Cittadella's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Luparense 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atalanta II's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Lecco 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Cittadella and 1.1 for Atalanta II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cittadella 26%, draw 56%, Atalanta II 18%.
Safer route: Cittadella or draw (82%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Draw at 3.00 – 56% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cittadella or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cittadella 1–1 Atalanta II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cittadella26%fair 3.78 · @2.15
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.00
Atalanta II18%fair 5.71 · @3.20
2.29Expected goals
1.23Cittadella xG
1.05Atalanta II xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.2 – 1.1 Atalanta II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.78
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Cittadella or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Cittadella – last 6
WLDWDW
8 Aug
vs Luparense
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Padova
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Cremonese
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Torino
1–0
W
13 May
@ Ravenna
1–1
D
6 May
vs Lumezzane
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atalanta II – last 6
WWDDWD
8 Aug
@ Lecco
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs SS Monopoli
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Cavese
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Siracusa
3–3
D
9 Mar
vs Audace Cerignola
3–2
W
5 Mar
@ AZ Picerno
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Atalanta II.
What is the prediction for Cittadella vs Atalanta II?
Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cittadella vs Atalanta II?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Atalanta II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Atalanta II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Atalanta II?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–1 Atalanta II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Atalanta II?
Cittadella vs Atalanta II (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arzignano Valchiampo2
Albinoleffe1
Lumezzane2
Renate2
Campobasso FC2
Cavese0
Athletic Carpi3
Pianese2
Livorno3
Reggiana1
Perugia1
Vis Pesaro2
Salernitana1
Scafatese2