Double chanceDeportivo Rincon or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.37
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Rincon host Santamarina in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros. Deportivo Rincon are 22nd with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Santamarina sit 36th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Deportivo Rincon's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Fundacion Amigos 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santamarina's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Costa Brava 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Rincon and 0.4 for Santamarina. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Rincon to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Santamarina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Rincon71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.70
Santamarina10%fair 9.82 · @8.50
1.93Expected goals
1.58Deportivo Rincon xG
0.35Santamarina xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–018%
0–015%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo Rincon 1.6 – 0.4 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Rincon to win✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Double chance
Deportivo Rincon or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Rincon / FT Deportivo Rincon✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.37
–
Form
Deportivo Rincon – last 6
LDDWLD
13 Sep
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Costa Brava
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santamarina – last 6
LLWLWL
13 Sep
vs Costa Brava
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Guillermo Brown
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Fundacion Amigos
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Rincon and Santamarina.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
Our pick is Deportivo Rincon to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
On our numbers Deportivo Rincon have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Santamarina 10%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
