Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosta Brava to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.35
Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Costa Brava take on Sol de Mayo on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. Costa Brava are 27th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sol de Mayo sit 28th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Costa Brava's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Santamarina 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sol de Mayo's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Juventud Unida Univ. 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Costa Brava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Costa Brava and 0.5 for Sol de Mayo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Costa Brava 65%, draw 24%, Sol de Mayo 11%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Costa Brava 1–0 Sol de Mayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Costa Brava65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
Sol de Mayo11%fair 8.74 · @8.50
2.18Expected goals
1.65Costa Brava xG
0.53Sol de Mayo xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 1.6 – 0.5 Sol de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Costa Brava to win✓
65%
1.55
1.36
Double chance
Costa Brava or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Costa Brava / FT Costa Brava✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.35
–
Form
Costa Brava – last 6
WDLWWD
13 Sep
@ Santamarina
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Rincon
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sol de Mayo – last 6
LLLLWL
13 Sep
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–0
W
13 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and Sol de Mayo.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sol de Mayo 11%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 1–0 Sol de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo?
Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
