Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Formosa travel to Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 20 September (21:00 WAT) to face Bartolomé Mitre. Bartolomé Mitre are 9th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while San Martin Formosa sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bartolomé Mitre's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Martin Formosa's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Sarmiento de La Banda 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
San Martin Formosa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished San Martin Formosa 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre. Across their last 2 meetings Bartolomé Mitre have won 1, San Martin Formosa 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Bartolomé Mitre and 1.2 for San Martin Formosa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bartolomé Mitre 29%, draw 23%, San Martin Formosa 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bartolomé Mitre 0–1 San Martin Formosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bartolomé Mitre29%fair 3.43 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
San Martin Formosa47%fair 2.11 · @2.15
2.10Expected goals
0.87Bartolomé Mitre xG
1.23San Martin Formosa xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bartolomé Mitre 0.9 – 1.2 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Bartolomé Mitre have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martin Formosa 47%.
How many goals will there be in Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Bartolomé Mitre 0–1 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.