Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Mitre to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Villa Mitre take on Kimberley Mar del Plata on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Fortin. Villa Mitre are 16th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Kimberley Mar del Plata sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Villa Mitre's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Argentino Monte Maíz 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Huracan Las Heras 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Villa Mitre 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Villa Mitre and 0.8 for Kimberley Mar del Plata. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Mitre 45%, draw 24%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 32%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Villa Mitre 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Mitre45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Kimberley Mar del Plata32%fair 3.17 · @3.70
1.78Expected goals
1.01Villa Mitre xG
0.77Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Villa Mitre 1.0 – 0.8 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 32%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
