Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Douglas Haig to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceDouglas Haig or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.28
Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia Chivilcoy travel to Miguel Morales in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 20 September (21:00 WAT) to face Douglas Haig. Douglas Haig are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Gimnasia Chivilcoy sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Douglas Haig's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Sportivo Belgrano 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Bartolomé Mitre 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Douglas Haig and 0.6 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Douglas Haig 58%, draw 23%, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 19%.
Safer route: Douglas Haig or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Douglas Haig to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Douglas Haig 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Douglas Haig58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @2.90
Gimnasia Chivilcoy19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
1.99Expected goals
1.38Douglas Haig xG
0.60Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Douglas Haig 1.4 – 0.6 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Douglas Haig to win✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Douglas Haig or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Douglas Haig / FT Douglas Haig✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.28
–
Form
Douglas Haig – last 6
WLWWDL
13 Sep
@ Sportivo Belgrano
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sol de América
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–1
W
12 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6
WWWDLD
6 Sep
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Douglas Haig and Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Douglas Haig have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 19%.
How many goals will there be in Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Douglas Haig 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Miguel Morales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
