Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoca Unidos to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21
Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
Boca Unidos host Independiente De Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Leoncio Benitez. Boca Unidos are 29th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente De Chivilcoy sit 25th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boca Unidos's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Atletico Escobar 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Independiente De Chivilcoy's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Las Parejas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Boca Unidos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Boca Unidos and 0.9 for Independiente De Chivilcoy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boca Unidos 50%, draw 23%, Independiente De Chivilcoy 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 54% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Boca Unidos 1–1 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boca Unidos50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Independiente De Chivilcoy27%fair 3.64 · @3.60
2.30Expected goals
1.38Boca Unidos xG
0.92Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Boca Unidos 1.4 – 0.9 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Unidos to win✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Unidos / FT Boca Unidos✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.21
–
Form
Boca Unidos – last 6
WLLWLW
1 Aug
@ Atletico Escobar
3–0
W
26 Jul
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–3
L
12 Jul
@ Sol de América
2–3
L
5 Jul
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Tucuman Central
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs San Martin Formosa
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
DLDLLD
26 Jul
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ El Linqueño
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Unidos and Independiente De Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Boca Unidos have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 27%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Boca Unidos 1–1 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leoncio Benitez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
