Value bet: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @ 3.60 – our chance 39% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✗39% · @3.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.22
Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Bartolomé Mitre take on Sarmiento de La Banda on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni. Bartolomé Mitre are 9th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sarmiento de La Banda sit 13th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bartolomé Mitre's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Defensores de Belgrano VR 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento de La Banda's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Tucuman Central 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento de La Banda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Bartolomé Mitre and 0.9 for Sarmiento de La Banda. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bartolomé Mitre 35%, draw 26%, Sarmiento de La Banda 39%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Sarmiento de La Banda to win at 3.60 – 39% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bartolomé Mitre35%fair 2.83 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.80
Sarmiento de La Banda39%fair 2.58 · @3.60
1.70Expected goals
0.82Bartolomé Mitre xG
0.88Sarmiento de La Banda xG
45%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Bartolomé Mitre 0.8 – 0.9 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
On our numbers Bartolomé Mitre have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sarmiento de La Banda 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our predicted score is Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
