Value bet: San Martín Mendoza to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantamarina to win ✗37% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza preview and prediction
The match
Santamarina host San Martín Mendoza in the Torneo Federal A on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin. Santamarina are 36th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while San Martín Mendoza sit 23rd on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Santamarina's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Sol de Mayo 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
San Martín Mendoza's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Costa Brava 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
San Martín Mendoza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Santamarina and 0.9 for San Martín Mendoza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santamarina 37%, draw 26%, San Martín Mendoza 37%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.50.
Value angle: San Martín Mendoza to win at 3.25 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Santamarina 0–0 San Martín Mendoza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santamarina37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75
San Martín Mendoza37%fair 2.73 · @3.25
1.82Expected goals
0.92Santamarina xG
0.90San Martín Mendoza xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Santamarina 0.9 – 0.9 San Martín Mendoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santamarina to win✗
37%
2.68
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.74
–
Form
Santamarina – last 6
LLDLLD
2 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–1
L
20 Jun
vs Villa Mitre
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Martín Mendoza – last 6
DDDWLW
2 Aug
vs Costa Brava
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Argentino Monte Maíz
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Deportivo Rincon
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Costa Brava
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Huracan Las Heras
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santamarina and San Martín Mendoza.
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martín Mendoza 37%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 0–0 San Martín Mendoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
