Value bet: San Martin Formosa to win @ 3.70 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Douglas Haig take on San Martin Formosa on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Miguel Morales. Douglas Haig are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while San Martin Formosa sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Douglas Haig's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with 9 de Julio Rafaela 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Martin Formosa's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Sol de América 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Douglas Haig and 1.1 for San Martin Formosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Douglas Haig 44%, draw 23%, San Martin Formosa 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: San Martin Formosa to win at 3.70 – 33% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Douglas Haig 1–1 San Martin Formosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Douglas Haig44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
San Martin Formosa33%fair 3.04 · @3.70
2.34Expected goals
1.28Douglas Haig xG
1.06San Martin Formosa xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Douglas Haig 1.3 – 1.1 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Douglas Haig to win✗
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Douglas Haig / FT Douglas Haig✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Douglas Haig – last 6
DWLDWD
2 Aug
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Atletico Escobar
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
4–0
W
20 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Martin Formosa – last 6
WWLDLW
2 Aug
vs Sol de América
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Sarmiento de La Banda
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Sol de América
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Douglas Haig and San Martin Formosa.
What is the prediction for Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Douglas Haig have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martin Formosa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Douglas Haig 1–1 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa?
Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Miguel Morales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
