Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSol de Mayo to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sol de Mayo take on Deportivo Rincon on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sol De Mayo. Sol de Mayo are 28th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sol de Mayo's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Santamarina 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Deportivo Rincon's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Guillermo Brown 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Sol de Mayo and 1.0 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sol de Mayo 41%, draw 25%, Deportivo Rincon 34%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Deportivo Rincon to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sol de Mayo 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sol de Mayo41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Deportivo Rincon34%fair 2.97 · @3.40
2.05Expected goals
1.09Sol de Mayo xG
0.96Deportivo Rincon xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sol de Mayo 1.1 – 1.0 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sol de Mayo to win✗
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sol de Mayo / FT Sol de Mayo✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Sol de Mayo – last 6
WDLLWD
2 Aug
vs Santamarina
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Villa Mitre
3–3
D
12 Jul
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–3
L
5 Jul
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Rincon – last 6
WWLLLL
2 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Costa Brava
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Huracan Las Heras
0–1
L
5 Jul
@ San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Atenas
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ Cipolletti
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sol de Mayo and Deportivo Rincon.
What is the prediction for Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Sol de Mayo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Rincon 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Sol de Mayo 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?
Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sol De Mayo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
