Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Belgrano to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.79
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento de La Banda host Sportivo Belgrano in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda. Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sportivo Belgrano sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sarmiento de La Banda's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Douglas Haig 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sportivo Belgrano's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Defensores de Belgrano VR 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.9 for Sportivo Belgrano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento de La Banda 44%, draw 24%, Sportivo Belgrano 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Sportivo Belgrano to win at 3.80 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento de La Banda44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.88
Sportivo Belgrano33%fair 3.07 · @3.80
1.96Expected goals
1.09Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.87Sportivo Belgrano xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.1 – 0.9 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✓
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✓
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.79
–
Form
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
LDDDWL
16 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
1–3
L
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Defensores de Vilelas
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
LLDDDD
17 Aug
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
12 Aug
@ San Martin Formosa
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Atletico Escobar
2–2
D
12 Jul
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and Sportivo Belgrano.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Belgrano 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
