Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlvarado to win ✗67% · @1.42
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.41
Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz preview and prediction
The match
Argentino Monte Maíz travel to face Alvarado in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 23 August (19:30 WAT). Alvarado are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Argentino Monte Maíz sit 17th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Alvarado's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Villa Mitre 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentino Monte Maíz's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Alvarado arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Alvarado and 0.4 for Argentino Monte Maíz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alvarado 67%, draw 24%, Argentino Monte Maíz 9%.
Both teams to score: no (61%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Alvarado 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alvarado67%fair 1.50 · @1.42
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.60
Argentino Monte Maíz9%fair 11.26 · @7.50
1.92Expected goals
1.54Alvarado xG
0.38Argentino Monte Maíz xG
39%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–017%
0–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.5 – 0.4 Argentino Monte Maíz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvarado to win✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Double chance
Alvarado or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvarado / FT Alvarado✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.41
–
Form
Alvarado – last 6
DWWDWL
16 Aug
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Huracan Las Heras
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juventud Antoniana
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Santamarina
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Germinal de Rawson
5–0
W
28 Jun
@ Villa Mitre
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Argentino Monte Maíz – last 6
DLLLDD
16 Aug
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
12 Aug
@ Cipolletti
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atenas
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ San Martín Mendoza
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Atenas
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Argentino Monte Maíz.
What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Argentino Monte Maíz 9%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
