Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Defensores de Vilelas to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensores de Vilelas to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceDefensores de Vilelas or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Defensores de Vilelas take on El Linqueño on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Defensores de Vilelas are 24th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while El Linqueño sit 26th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensores de Vilelas's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Concepción 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
El Linqueño's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Concepción 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Defensores de Vilelas and 0.7 for El Linqueño. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensores de Vilelas 63%, draw 21%, El Linqueño 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Defensores de Vilelas to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Defensores de Vilelas 1–0 El Linqueño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensores de Vilelas63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.10
El Linqueño16%fair 6.19 · @3.90
2.38Expected goals
1.69Defensores de Vilelas xG
0.69El Linqueño xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Defensores de Vilelas 1.7 – 0.7 El Linqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores de Vilelas to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Defensores de Vilelas or draw✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensores de Vilelas / FT Defensores de Vilelas✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Form
Defensores de Vilelas – last 6
LWDWLW
16 Aug
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Tucuman Central
4–3
W
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
3 Aug
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
4–1
W
12 Jul
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
El Linqueño – last 6
DDWWWL
13 Aug
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Gimnasia Concepción
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores de Vilelas and El Linqueño.
What is the prediction for Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
On our numbers Defensores de Vilelas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and El Linqueño 16%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
Our predicted score is Defensores de Vilelas 1–0 El Linqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
