Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceIndependiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.53
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central preview and prediction
The match
Tucuman Central travel to Raul Orlando Lungarzo in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 23 August (19:30 WAT) to face Independiente De Chivilcoy. Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Tucuman Central sit 32nd on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Independiente De Chivilcoy's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Las Parejas 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tucuman Central's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Atletico Escobar 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Independiente De Chivilcoy and 0.5 for Tucuman Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente De Chivilcoy 66%, draw 25%, Tucuman Central 9%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Tucuman Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente De Chivilcoy66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
Tucuman Central9%fair 11.73 · @6.25
2.28Expected goals
1.76Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
0.51Tucuman Central xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.8 – 0.5 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente De Chivilcoy to win✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Double chance
Independiente De Chivilcoy or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Independiente De Chivilcoy ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente De Chivilcoy / FT Independiente De Chivilcoy✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.53
–
Form
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
DLDDLD
16 Aug
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Boca Unidos
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ El Linqueño
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tucuman Central – last 6
LLDLDL
16 Aug
vs Atletico Escobar
2–3
L
12 Aug
@ Defensores de Vilelas
3–4
L
8 Aug
vs El Linqueño
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–4
L
26 Jul
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Juventud Antoniana
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Tucuman Central.
What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?
On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tucuman Central 9%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?
Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.