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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Raul Orlando Lungarzo

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceIndependiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.53

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central preview and prediction

The match

Tucuman Central travel to Raul Orlando Lungarzo in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 23 August (19:30 WAT) to face Independiente De Chivilcoy. Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Tucuman Central sit 32nd on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Independiente De Chivilcoy's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Las Parejas 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Tucuman Central's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Atletico Escobar 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Independiente De Chivilcoy and 0.5 for Tucuman Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Tucuman Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Independiente De Chivilcoy66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
Tucuman Central9%fair 11.73 · @6.25
2.28Expected goals
1.76Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
0.51Tucuman Central xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.8 – 0.5 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓66%1.511.48
Double chanceIndependiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓91%1.091.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Half-time resultIndependiente De Chivilcoy ahead at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente De Chivilcoy / FT Independiente De Chivilcoy ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.53–

Form

Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6

DLDDLD
16 Aug@ Sportivo Las Parejas0–0D
12 Augvs Sarmiento Resistencia1–2L
8 Aug@ Boca Unidos1–1D
26 Julvs Sportivo Las Parejas1–1D
12 Jul@ El Linqueño1–2L
5 Jul@ Sportivo Belgrano1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tucuman Central – last 6

LLDLDL
16 Augvs Atletico Escobar2–3L
12 Aug@ Defensores de Vilelas3–4L
8 Augvs El Linqueño1–1D
2 Aug@ Gimnasia Concepción0–4L
26 Julvs Sarmiento de La Banda1–1D
12 Jul@ Juventud Antoniana1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Tucuman Central.

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tucuman Central 9%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.