Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95
San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela preview and prediction
The match
9 de Julio Rafaela travel to 17 De Octubre in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 23 August (20:00 WAT) to face San Martin Formosa. San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while 9 de Julio Rafaela sit 14th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Martin Formosa's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
San Martin Formosa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for San Martin Formosa and 0.7 for 9 de Julio Rafaela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Formosa 66%, draw 24%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 10%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: San Martin Formosa 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Formosa66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
9 de Julio Rafaela10%fair 10.17 · @6.25
2.60Expected goals
1.94San Martin Formosa xG
0.669 de Julio Rafaela xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.9 – 0.7 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✓
66%
1.52
1.53
Double chance
San Martin Formosa or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
San Martin Formosa ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.95
–
Form
San Martin Formosa – last 6
DWWWWL
16 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
4–1
W
2 Aug
vs Sol de América
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Sarmiento de La Banda
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WDDLLL
13 Aug
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Douglas Haig
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Douglas Haig
1–2
L
13 Jul
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Formosa and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 10%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
