Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Os Limianos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOs Limianos to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceOs Limianos or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.96
Vinhais vs Os Limianos preview and prediction
The match
Os Limianos travel to face Vinhais in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 11 October (15:00 WAT). Vinhais are 14th with 0 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Os Limianos sit 1st on 18 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vinhais's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Fátima 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Os Limianos's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Rebordosa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Os Limianos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Vinhais and 1.8 for Os Limianos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vinhais 22%, draw 22%, Os Limianos 56%.
Safer route: Os Limianos or draw (78%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Os Limianos to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Os Limianos or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Vinhais 0–1 Os Limianos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vinhais22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Os Limianos56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
2.76Expected goals
1.00Vinhais xG
1.76Os Limianos xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Vinhais 1.0 – 1.8 Os Limianos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Os Limianos to win✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Os Limianos or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Os Limianos / FT Os Limianos✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.96
–
Form
Vinhais – last 5
LLLLL
20 Sep
@ Fátima
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Vila Meã
0–4
L
6 Sep
vs Chaves II
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Tirsense
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs Maria da Fonte
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Os Limianos – last 6
DWWWDW
27 Sep
vs Rebordosa
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Aljustrelense
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Ponte da Barca
3–2
W
30 Aug
@ Correlhã
4–1
W
23 Aug
@ Vila Meã
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Chaves II
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vinhais and Os Limianos.
What is the prediction for Vinhais vs Os Limianos?
Our pick is Os Limianos or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vinhais vs Os Limianos?
On our numbers Vinhais have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Os Limianos 56%.
How many goals will there be in Vinhais vs Os Limianos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vinhais vs Os Limianos?
Our predicted score is Vinhais 0–1 Os Limianos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vinhais vs Os Limianos?
Vinhais vs Os Limianos (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
