Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.50
Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa preview and prediction
The match
Ponte da Barca host Rebordosa in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Ponte da Barca are 10th with 10 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Rebordosa sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ponte da Barca's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Amarante 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rebordosa's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Os Limianos 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Ponte da Barca and 1.3 for Rebordosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ponte da Barca 37%, draw 24%, Rebordosa 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ponte da Barca 1–1 Rebordosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponte da Barca37%fair 2.71 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Rebordosa39%fair 2.57 · @2.60
2.48Expected goals
1.22Ponte da Barca xG
1.26Rebordosa xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ponte da Barca 1.2 – 1.3 Rebordosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rebordosa to win✗
39%
2.57
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rebordosa / FT Rebordosa✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.50
–
Form
Ponte da Barca – last 6
LLLDWL
20 Sep
vs Amarante
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Bragança
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Os Limianos
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Montalegre
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Maia Lidador
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Vila Meã
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rebordosa – last 6
DWDLLL
27 Sep
@ Os Limianos
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vila Meã
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Alpendorada
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Chaves II
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Tirsense
0–1
L
31 May
@ Vianense
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte da Barca and Rebordosa.
What is the prediction for Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
On our numbers Ponte da Barca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rebordosa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
Our predicted score is Ponte da Barca 1–1 Rebordosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
