Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte preview and prediction
The match
Maia Lidador host Maria da Fonte in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Maia Lidador are 8th with 11 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Maria da Fonte sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Maia Lidador's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to AD Marco 09 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Maria da Fonte's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Paredes 1–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Maria da Fonte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Maia Lidador and 1.1 for Maria da Fonte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maia Lidador 39%, draw 24%, Maria da Fonte 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Maia Lidador 1–1 Maria da Fonte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maia Lidador39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
Maria da Fonte37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
2.25Expected goals
1.14Maia Lidador xG
1.10Maria da Fonte xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Maia Lidador 1.1 – 1.1 Maria da Fonte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maia Lidador to win✗
39%
2.55
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maia Lidador / FT Maia Lidador✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Maia Lidador – last 6
LDLDLL
20 Sep
@ AD Marco 09
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Montalegre
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Bragança
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Vila Meã
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Ponte da Barca
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ SC Braga B
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maria da Fonte – last 6
LLLWLW
20 Sep
@ Paredes
1–5
L
13 Sep
vs SC Braga B
0–4
L
6 Sep
@ Brito
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Uniao Nogueirense
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Celoricense
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Vinhais
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maia Lidador and Maria da Fonte.
What is the prediction for Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
On our numbers Maia Lidador have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maria da Fonte 37%.
How many goals will there be in Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
Our predicted score is Maia Lidador 1–1 Maria da Fonte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
