Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBragança to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceBragança or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.60
Bragança vs Montalegre preview and prediction
The match
Bragança host Montalegre in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Bragança are 3rd with 16 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Montalegre sit 6th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Bragança's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Celoricense 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montalegre's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Maia Lidador 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bragança arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Bragança and 0.6 for Montalegre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 42%.
Our pre-match pick was Bragança to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bragança 1–0 Montalegre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bragança65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.20
Montalegre15%fair 6.72 · @4.20
2.21Expected goals
1.62Bragança xG
0.58Montalegre xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bragança 1.6 – 0.6 Montalegre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bragança to win✗
65%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Bragança or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bragança / FT Bragança✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.60
–
Form
Bragança – last 6
WWWWDW
20 Sep
vs Celoricense
6–1
W
13 Sep
vs Ponte da Barca
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Maia Lidador
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Rebordelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Braga B
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Brito
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Montalegre – last 5
DDDWD
13 Sep
vs Maia Lidador
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ SC Braga B
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Ponte da Barca
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Brito
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Celoricense
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bragança and Montalegre.
What is the prediction for Bragança vs Montalegre?
Our pick is Bragança to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bragança vs Montalegre?
On our numbers Bragança have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Montalegre 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bragança vs Montalegre?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bragança vs Montalegre?
Our predicted score is Bragança 1–0 Montalegre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bragança vs Montalegre?
Bragança vs Montalegre (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
