Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Mantova vs Athletic Carpi preview and prediction
The match
Mantova host Athletic Carpi in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Mantova's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Legnago Salus 3–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Athletic Carpi's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Guidonia Montecelio 1937 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mantova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.8 for Mantova and 1.3 for Athletic Carpi. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mantova 2–1 Athletic Carpi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mantova68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.50
Athletic Carpi14%fair 7.34 · @5.50
4.05Expected goals
2.78Mantova xG
1.27Athletic Carpi xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Mantova 2.8 – 1.3 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Mantova or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Mantova ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Mantova – last 6
WWLWWW
6 Aug
@ Legnago Salus
3–1
W
30 Jul
vs Alcione
6–2
W
8 May
@ Frosinone
0–5
L
1 May
vs Monza
3–2
W
6 Apr
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Cesena
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Athletic Carpi – last 6
WWDLWD
26 Apr
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Pontedera
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Torres
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Gubbio
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bra
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Perugia
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Athletic Carpi.
What is the prediction for Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Mantova have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Athletic Carpi 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
Our predicted score is Mantova 2–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Athletic Carpi?
Mantova vs Athletic Carpi (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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