Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLazio to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.29
Frosinone vs Lazio preview and prediction
The match
Frosinone host Lazio in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT).
Form guide
Frosinone's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Benevento 2–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lazio's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Ostia Mare 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for Frosinone and 2.1 for Lazio. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Frosinone 26%, draw 14%, Lazio 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Lazio to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Frosinone 1–2 Lazio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frosinone26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 7.21 · @3.40
Lazio60%fair 1.65 · @1.95
3.31Expected goals
1.23Frosinone xG
2.08Lazio xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Frosinone 1.2 – 2.1 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
60%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.29
–
Form
Frosinone – last 6
DDWWWW
1 Aug
vs Benevento
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Frosinone U20
1–0
W
8 May
vs Mantova
5–0
W
1 May
@ Juve Stabia
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 6
WWWWLL
5 Aug
vs Ostia Mare
4–0
W
2 Aug
@ Ascoli
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Avellino
6–3
W
26 Jul
vs Flaminia
6–0
W
17 May
@ AS Roma
0–2
L
13 May
vs Inter
0–2
L
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Lazio.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Frosinone vs Lazio?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Lazio 60%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Lazio?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 1–2 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Lazio?
Frosinone vs Lazio (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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