Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParma to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceParma or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Parma vs Sampdoria preview and prediction
The match
Parma host Sampdoria in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Parma's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Iraklis 1908 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sampdoria's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Novara 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Parma and 0.6 for Sampdoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 41%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma 65%, draw 20%, Sampdoria 16%.
Safer route: Parma or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Parma to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Parma 1–0 Sampdoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Sampdoria16%fair 6.42 · @4.20
2.24Expected goals
1.64Parma xG
0.60Sampdoria xG
41%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Parma 1.6 – 0.6 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma to win✗
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Parma or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma / FT Parma✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
Parma – last 6
DDWLLD
2 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–1
D
24 May
vs Sassuolo
1–0
W
17 May
@ Como
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sampdoria – last 6
LDWLWL
1 Aug
vs Novara
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Cagliari
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Taverne
2–0
W
8 May
@ Reggiana
0–1
L
1 May
vs Sudtirol
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Monza
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Sampdoria.
Our pick is Parma to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Parma vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Parma have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sampdoria 16%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–0 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Sampdoria?
Parma vs Sampdoria (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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