Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Virtus Entella to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSudtirol to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.29
Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Sudtirol take on Virtus Entella on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio Marco Druso. Sudtirol are 12th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Virtus Entella sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sudtirol's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Catanzaro 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Virtus Entella's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Hellas Verona 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sudtirol and 1.0 for Virtus Entella. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Virtus Entella to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sudtirol 1–1 Virtus Entella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sudtirol45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Virtus Entella33%fair 3.05 · @3.60
2.17Expected goals
1.21Sudtirol xG
0.97Virtus Entella xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.2 – 1.0 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sudtirol to win✓
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sudtirol / FT Sudtirol✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.29
–
Form
Sudtirol – last 6
DWDDDL
15 Aug
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Virtus Verona
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
D
22 May
vs Bari
0–0
D
8 May
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
1 May
@ Sampdoria
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Virtus Entella – last 6
DLWLWL
16 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Carrarese
0–1
L
5 Aug
vs Novara
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Empoli
0–1
L
8 May
vs Carrarese
2–1
W
1 May
@ Bari
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sudtirol and Virtus Entella.
What is the prediction for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?
On our numbers Sudtirol have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Virtus Entella 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?
Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?
Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marco Druso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
