Value bet: Empoli to win @ 2.65 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmpoli to win ✓44% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.72
Empoli vs Cremonese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Empoli take on Cremonese on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Carlo Castellani. Empoli are 19th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Cremonese sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Empoli's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Pisa 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Cremonese's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Sampdoria 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Empoli and 1.1 for Cremonese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Empoli 44%, draw 22%, Cremonese 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Empoli to win at 2.65 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Empoli 1–1 Cremonese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Empoli44%fair 2.25 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Cremonese33%fair 3.01 · @2.65
2.47Expected goals
1.35Empoli xG
1.12Cremonese xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Empoli 1.3 – 1.1 Cremonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Empoli to win✓
44%
2.25
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Empoli / FT Empoli✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.72
–
Form
Empoli – last 6
DDDWDW
17 Aug
@ Pisa
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
8 May
@ Monza
2–2
D
1 May
vs Avellino
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cremonese – last 6
WDDWLW
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lumezzane
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Cittadella
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Giana Erminio
4–0
W
24 May
vs Como
1–4
L
17 May
@ Udinese
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Empoli and Cremonese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Empoli vs Cremonese?
On our numbers Empoli have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cremonese 33%.
How many goals will there be in Empoli vs Cremonese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Cremonese?
Our predicted score is Empoli 1–1 Cremonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Empoli vs Cremonese?
Empoli vs Cremonese (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
