Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.25
Double chanceAvellino or draw ✗82% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Avellino vs Arezzo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Avellino take on Arezzo on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Avellino are 5th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Arezzo sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Avellino's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Monza 0–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Arezzo's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Cagliari 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Avellino and 1.1 for Arezzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avellino 27%, draw 56%, Arezzo 18%.
Safer route: Avellino or draw (82%) at 1.33.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Draw at 3.25 – 56% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Avellino or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Avellino 1–1 Arezzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avellino27%fair 3.75 · @2.20
Draw56%fair 1.80 · @3.25
Arezzo18%fair 5.63 · @3.25
2.39Expected goals
1.29Avellino xG
1.10Arezzo xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Avellino 1.3 – 1.1 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.80
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Avellino or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avellino / FT Avellino✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Avellino – last 6
LDLWWL
14 Aug
@ Monza
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Torino
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Lazio
3–6
L
26 Jul
@ Sambenedettese
5–0
W
22 Jul
vs Scafatese
3–1
W
12 May
@ Catanzaro
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Arezzo – last 6
LWDLDW
14 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Parma
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Albinoleffe
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Napoli
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avellino and Arezzo.
Our pick is Avellino or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Avellino vs Arezzo?
On our numbers Avellino have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Arezzo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Arezzo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Arezzo?
Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avellino vs Arezzo?
Avellino vs Arezzo (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
