Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMantova to win ✓39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.93
Carrarese vs Mantova preview and prediction
The match
Carrarese host Mantova in the Serie B on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio dei Marmi. Carrarese are 17th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Mantova sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Carrarese's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Torino 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mantova's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Lazio 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Mantova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Mantova 1–1 Carrarese.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Carrarese and 1.3 for Mantova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Mantova to win at 2.98 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Carrarese 1–1 Mantova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carrarese37%fair 2.73 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Mantova39%fair 2.54 · @2.98
2.57Expected goals
1.25Carrarese xG
1.31Mantova xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.3 – 1.3 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Carrarese vs Mantova?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mantova 39%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Mantova?
Carrarese vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
