The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
The New Saints or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: The New Saints to win @ 1.78 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓65% · @1.78
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.46
The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees The New Saints take on Flora Tallinn on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Park Hall.
Form guide
The New Saints's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Flora Tallinn 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Flora Tallinn's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat The New Saints 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Flora Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Flora Tallinn 1–0 The New Saints.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for The New Saints and 0.4 for Flora Tallinn. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: The New Saints 65%, draw 20%, Flora Tallinn 15%.
Safer route: The New Saints or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: The New Saints to win at 1.78 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was The New Saints or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: The New Saints 1–0 Flora Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The New Saints65%fair 1.54 · @1.78
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
Flora Tallinn15%fair 6.53 · @4.10
1.82Expected goals
1.39The New Saints xG
0.43Flora Tallinn xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–016%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: The New Saints 1.4 – 0.4 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
Our pick is The New Saints or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Flora Tallinn 15%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 1–0 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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