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UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Stadion Střelnice
2–0
FT

FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓60% · @1.64
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54

FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin preview and prediction

The match

The UEFA Europa Conference League sees FK Jablonec take on NK Varazdin on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Střelnice.

Form guide

FK Jablonec's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Sigma Olomouc 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

NK Varazdin's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FK Jablonec 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

NK Varazdin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished NK Varazdin 3–2 FK Jablonec.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for FK Jablonec and 1.4 for NK Varazdin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FK Jablonec 2–1 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FK Jablonec60%fair 1.67 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.85
NK Varazdin16%fair 6.12 · @4.55
4.00Expected goals
2.59FK Jablonec xG
1.41NK Varazdin xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%

From our goals model: FK Jablonec 2.6 – 1.4 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Jablonec to win ✓60%1.671.64
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓84%1.201.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.501.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.891.50
Half-time resultFK Jablonec ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec ✓42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.54–

Form

FK Jablonec – last 6

WLWWLD
26 Julvs Sigma Olomouc2–1W
23 Jul@ NK Varazdin2–3L
15 Julvs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1–0W
12 Julvs VfL Osnabrück1–0W
11 Jul@ FC Liefering1–3L
8 Julvs Pafos0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

NK Varazdin – last 6

WWWWWL
23 Julvs FK Jablonec3–2W
12 Jul@ Bihor Oradea3–1W
10 Jul@ Radomlje1–0W
4 Julvs CSKA 19481–0W
2 Julvs FC Voluntari2–1W
27 Jun@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026NK Varazdin v FK Jablonec3–2
FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?

On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Varazdin 16%.

How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?

Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 2–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?

FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Střelnice.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.