Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓60% · @1.64
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees FK Jablonec take on NK Varazdin on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Střelnice.
Form guide
FK Jablonec's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Sigma Olomouc 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NK Varazdin's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FK Jablonec 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
NK Varazdin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished NK Varazdin 3–2 FK Jablonec.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for FK Jablonec and 1.4 for NK Varazdin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Jablonec 60%, draw 24%, NK Varazdin 16%.
Safer route: FK Jablonec or draw (84%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FK Jablonec 2–1 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Jablonec60%fair 1.67 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.85
NK Varazdin16%fair 6.12 · @4.55
4.00Expected goals
2.59FK Jablonec xG
1.41NK Varazdin xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: FK Jablonec 2.6 – 1.4 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Varazdin 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 2–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin?
FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Střelnice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.