Thursday, 12 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Kostanay Central Stadium

FK Tobol Kostanay

WDDWL
1–1
FTPens 3–2

Panevėžys

DLDLL

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗69% · @1.25
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys preview and prediction

The match

FK Tobol Kostanay host Panevėžys in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 30 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kostanay Central Stadium.

Form guide

FK Tobol Kostanay's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Atyrau 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Panevėžys's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

FK Tobol Kostanay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Panevėžys 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 0.6 for Panevėžys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Panevėžys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FK Tobol Kostanay69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @5.10
Panevėžys11%fair 8.85 · @10.75
2.45Expected goals
1.87FK Tobol Kostanay xG
0.58Panevėžys xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%

From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.9 – 0.6 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗69%1.451.25
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓89%1.131.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.992.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.42
Half-time resultFK Tobol Kostanay ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.19–

Form

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WDDWLW
26 Julvs Atyrau1–0W
23 Jul@ Panevėžys1–1D
18 Jul@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–1D
12 Julvs Okzhetpes3–1W
4 Jul@ Altay0–1L
28 Junvs Altay3–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Panevėžys – last 6

DLDLLW
23 Julvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
11 Jul@ Kauno Žalgiris0–3L
4 Julvs Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
29 Junvs Suduva Marijampole1–2L
23 Jun@ Minija1–2L
20 Junvs Šiauliai3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Panevėžys v FK Tobol Kostanay1–1
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 174%1.29X19%4.9028%9.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X20%3.85220%4.20 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 111%4.45X25%3.70264%1.68 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 133%2.88X19%3.70247%2.12 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 152%2.10X22%3.25226%3.30 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Zira1 Paide1 170%1.21X21%5.1029%15.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys?

On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Panevėžys 11%.

How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys?

Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys?

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kostanay Central Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.