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Today's tips
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Tammela Stadium

Ilves

WLWWD
1–0
FTPens 5–4

Stjarnan

LWLDW

Ilves vs Stjarnan prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIlves to win ✓60% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.05

Ilves vs Stjarnan preview and prediction

The match

Stjarnan travel to Tammela Stadium in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 30 July (17:00 WAT) to face Ilves.

Form guide

Ilves's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Lahti 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Stjarnan's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to IA Akranes 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Stjarnan 1–0 Ilves.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Ilves and 0.9 for Stjarnan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ilves 2–0 Stjarnan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ilves60%fair 1.66 · @1.69
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.85
Stjarnan20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
2.66Expected goals
1.78Ilves xG
0.88Stjarnan xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Ilves 1.8 – 0.9 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win ✓60%1.661.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.50
Half-time resultIlves ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12%8.05–

Form

Ilves – last 6

WLWWDL
26 Julvs Lahti1–0W
23 Jul@ Stjarnan0–1L
20 Jul@ Turku PS3–1W
16 Julvs FC Differdange 033–1W
8 Jul@ FC Differdange 030–0D
4 Jul@ FF Jaro1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stjarnan – last 6

LWLDWD
26 Jul@ IA Akranes1–5L
23 Julvs Ilves1–0W
19 Jul@ KR Reykjavik0–5L
16 Jul@ Vikingur Gota2–2D
9 Julvs Vikingur Gota3–1W
3 Jul@ FH hafnarfjordur2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Stjarnan v Ilves1–0
Ilves vs Stjarnan head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs Stjarnan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ilves vs Stjarnan?

On our numbers Ilves have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stjarnan 20%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Stjarnan?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Stjarnan?

Our predicted score is Ilves 2–0 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs Stjarnan?

Ilves vs Stjarnan (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.