Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✗47% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne preview and prediction
The match
Kalju Nomme host Shelbourne in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 30 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Pärnu Rannastaadion.
Form guide
Kalju Nomme's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Shelbourne 2–5 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Shelbourne's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 5–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju Nomme.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.7 for Kalju Nomme and 2.1 for Shelbourne. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalju Nomme 33%, draw 19%, Shelbourne 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kalju Nomme 1–2 Shelbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalju Nomme33%fair 3.01 · @2.88
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
Shelbourne47%fair 2.11 · @2.12
3.77Expected goals
1.71Kalju Nomme xG
2.07Shelbourne xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Kalju Nomme 1.7 – 2.1 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers Kalju Nomme have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Shelbourne 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is Kalju Nomme 1–2 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?
Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Pärnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.