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EFL Trophy · England · Stadium MK

Milton Keynes Dons

WDDDL
7–1
FT

Brentford U21

WLLDW

Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21 prediction & analysis

86%
Footrivo pick

Milton Keynes Dons or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Milton Keynes Dons to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.93

Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21 preview and prediction

The match

Brentford U21 travel to Stadium MK in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT) to face Milton Keynes Dons.

Form guide

Milton Keynes Dons's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Crawley Town 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Brentford U21's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Bromley 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Brentford U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Milton Keynes Dons and 0.9 for Brentford U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Milton Keynes Dons or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Brentford U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Milton Keynes Dons66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.50
Brentford U2114%fair 7.04 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
2.12Milton Keynes Dons xG
0.88Brentford U21 xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Milton Keynes Dons 2.1 – 0.9 Brentford U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✓66%1.521.70 ▲
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultMilton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Milton Keynes Dons / FT Milton Keynes Dons ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%8.93–

Form

Milton Keynes Dons – last 6

WDDDLD
22 Sepvs Crawley Town4–1W
17 Sep@ AFC Wimbledon0–0D
12 Sepvs Peterborough1–1D
5 Sep@ Wycombe3–3D
2 Sep@ Wigan1–3L
29 Augvs Leicester0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Brentford U21 – last 6

WLLDWW
22 Sep@ Bromley1–0W
18 Sep@ Manchester United U212–3L
13 Sepvs Everton U210–2L
8 Sep@ Hull City U211–1D
31 Augvs Sunderland U215–1W
21 Aug@ Stoke City U213–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Milton Keynes Dons and Brentford U21.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21 head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon Town3201+46
2West Ham United U213201+36
3Reading3201+26
4Milton Keynes Dons3003-90

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FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 140%2.30X23%3.25237%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 121%3.10X21%3.80258%1.80 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21?

Our pick is Milton Keynes Dons or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21?

On our numbers Milton Keynes Dons have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brentford U21 14%.

How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21?

Our predicted score is Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Brentford U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21?

Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium MK.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.