Barnet travel to Plough Lane in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT) to face AFC Wimbledon. AFC Wimbledon are 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, while Barnet sit 3rd on 5 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AFC Wimbledon's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Cambridge United 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barnet's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Fleetwood Town 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.2 for AFC Wimbledon and 2.3 for Barnet. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Wimbledon 38%, draw 23%, Barnet 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Wimbledon 2–2 Barnet. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Wimbledon38%fair 2.67 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Barnet40%fair 2.52 · @2.62
4.50Expected goals
2.22AFC Wimbledon xG
2.28Barnet xG
72%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 2.2 – 2.3 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
40%
2.52
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Barnet ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.60
–
Form
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
DDWWLW
26 Sep
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Doncaster
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Bromley
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Burton Albion
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Wigan
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Barnet – last 6
WWDDDW
19 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Chesterfield
3–3
D
1 Sep
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Cheltenham
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Shrewsbury
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Barnet.
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?
On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barnet 40%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?
Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 2–2 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?
AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Plough Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Accrington ST1
Salford City1
Sheffield Wednesday2
Sunderland U210
Blackpool2
Crewe2
Rotherham0
Bradford4
Port Vale2
Mansfield Town0
Shrewsbury0
Stockport County2
Grimsby0
Burton Albion0
Fleetwood Town4
Barnsley1