The EFL Trophy sees Stevenage take on Leicester on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Broadhall Way.
Form guide
Stevenage's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Walsall 6–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Leicester's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Fulham U21 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 7.0 goals: 3.4 for Stevenage and 3.6 for Leicester. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 97% and both teams to score at 76%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 76% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stevenage 3–3 Leicester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stevenage35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Leicester41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
7.00Expected goals
3.40Stevenage xG
3.60Leicester xG
76%Both score
97%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–35%
3–44%
2–34%
4–34%
3–24%
2–44%
From our goals model: Stevenage 3.4 – 3.6 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
41%
2.44
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
76%
1.32
1.57 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Leicester ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–4✗
4%
23.89
–
Form
Stevenage – last 6
WLWWDD
22 Sep
@ Walsall
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Leyton Orient
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Luton
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Barnsley
5–1
W
1 Sep
@ Peterborough
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Doncaster
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leicester – last 6
WDWLWD
22 Sep
vs Fulham U21
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Barnsley
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Stockport County
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs Oxford United
0–4
L
1 Sep
vs Plymouth
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Leicester.
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Leicester?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Stevenage vs Leicester?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leicester 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Leicester?
We expect about 7.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score 76% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 3–3 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.0 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Leicester?
Stevenage vs Leicester (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Broadhall Way.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Accrington ST1
Salford City1
Sheffield Wednesday2
Sunderland U210
Blackpool2
Crewe2
Rotherham0
Bradford4
Port Vale2
Mansfield Town0
Shrewsbury0
Stockport County2
Grimsby0
Burton Albion0
Fleetwood Town4
Barnsley1