Cheltenham host Exeter City in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 22 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Whaddon Road. Cheltenham are 3rd with 2 points from 3 games, while Exeter City sit 2nd on 6 points.
Form guide
Cheltenham's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Colchester 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Exeter City's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Tranmere 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cheltenham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Cheltenham and 0.9 for Exeter City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cheltenham 44%, draw 22%, Exeter City 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cheltenham 1–1 Exeter City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cheltenham44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.10
Exeter City34%fair 2.96 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
1.10Cheltenham xG
0.90Exeter City xG
55%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.1 – 0.9 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cheltenham to win✗
44%
2.26
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.72
–
Form
Cheltenham – last 6
DWDWDL
19 Sep
@ Colchester
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Crawley Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs York
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Barnet
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Swindon Town
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
DLWDDL
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Walsall
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Barnet
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ York
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Cheltenham have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Exeter City 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Exeter City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cheltenham vs Exeter City?
Cheltenham vs Exeter City (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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