Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYork to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.22
York vs Rotherham preview and prediction
The match
Rotherham travel to York`s LNER Community Stadium in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 22 September (19:00 WAT) to face York.
Form guide
York's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Chesterfield 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Rotherham's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Northampton 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Rotherham 1–1 York.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for York and 1.9 for Rotherham. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 69%.
Betting angles
Win chances: York 41%, draw 24%, Rotherham 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Rotherham to win at 3.00 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: York 2–1 Rotherham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Rotherham35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.07York xG
1.93Rotherham xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: York 2.1 – 1.9 Rotherham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win York vs Rotherham?
On our numbers York have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rotherham 35%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Rotherham?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York vs Rotherham?
Our predicted score is York 2–1 Rotherham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is York vs Rotherham?
York vs Rotherham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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