EFL Trophy · England · Alexandra Stadium
Crewe vs Aston Villa U21 prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Crewe 3.4 – 1.6 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Crewe are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 12% for Aston Villa U21.
Crewe have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (0W 5D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Aston Villa U21 have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 5.0 goals (3.4 for Crewe, 1.6 for Aston Villa U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 3–1 (7%), 2–1 (6%), 4–1 (6%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.38.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Crewe to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Crewe or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Crewe ahead at half-time ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Crewe / FT Crewe ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 ✗ | 7% | 14.14 | – |
Form
Crewe – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Shrewsbury | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Colchester | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs York | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Walsall | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Port Vale | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ Barnsley | 2–3 | L |
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs Middlesbrough U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Real Sociedad II | 5–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Fulham U21 | 3–3 | D |
| 2 Sep | vs Brondby U21 | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Crystal Palace U21 | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Brighton U21 | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Aston Villa U21.
EFL Trophy table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Crewe | 3 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Chesterfield | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Burton Albion | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Liverpool U21 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
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Grimsby1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Crewe have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aston Villa U21 12%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
When is Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
Crewe vs Aston Villa U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.