Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Dorking Wanderers or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Dorking Wanderers to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceDorking Wanderers or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Dorking Wanderers take on Hemel Hempstead Town on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Meadowbank. Dorking Wanderers are 6th with 27 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dorking Wanderers's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Slough Town 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to AFC Totton 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dorking Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Dorking Wanderers and 0.8 for Hemel Hempstead Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Safer route: Dorking Wanderers or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Dorking Wanderers to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dorking Wanderers or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dorking Wanderers 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dorking Wanderers64%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Hemel Hempstead Town13%fair 7.42 · @3.50
2.76Expected goals
1.97Dorking Wanderers xG
0.79Hemel Hempstead Town xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Dorking Wanderers 2.0 – 0.8 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dorking Wanderers to win✗
64%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Dorking Wanderers or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Dorking Wanderers ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Dorking Wanderers – last 6
WLDWWD
24 Oct
@ Slough Town
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Dover
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Dover
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Chatham Town
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Braintree
4–3
W
20 Sep
@ Southall
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LDWLDD
24 Oct
vs AFC Totton
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Slough Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Wingate & Finchley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Tonbridge Angels
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dorking Wanderers and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Dorking Wanderers or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Dorking Wanderers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hemel Hempstead Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Dorking Wanderers 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Meadowbank.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
