Value bet: Farnham Town to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarnham Town to win ✓43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Chesham United vs Farnham Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Chesham United take on Farnham Town on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Meadow. Chesham United are 21st with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Farnham Town sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chesham United's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Dagenham & Redbridge 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Farnham Town's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Braintree 6–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Farnham Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Chesham United and 1.8 for Farnham Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 37%, draw 21%, Farnham Town 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Farnham Town to win at 2.60 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Chesham United 1–1 Farnham Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United37%fair 2.73 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.80
Farnham Town43%fair 2.35 · @2.60
3.38Expected goals
1.62Chesham United xG
1.76Farnham Town xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.6 – 1.8 Farnham Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farnham Town to win✓
43%
2.35
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farnham Town / FT Farnham Town✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Chesham United – last 6
LLDLWL
24 Oct
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Forest Green
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs Forest Green
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Chelmsford City
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Real Bedford
4–3
W
26 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Farnham Town – last 6
WLDWLD
24 Oct
vs Braintree
6–0
W
10 Oct
vs Salisbury
1–2
L
6 Oct
vs Truro City
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Weston-super-Mare
3–2
W
22 Sep
vs Cirencester Town
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Cirencester Town
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Farnham Town.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Farnham Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chesham United vs Farnham Town?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Farnham Town 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Farnham Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Farnham Town?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 Farnham Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Farnham Town?
Chesham United vs Farnham Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
