National League South · EnglandDover vs Chelmsford City prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Dover to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dover 1.4 – 1.5 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Dover and Chelmsford City on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Dover have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Chelmsford City have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Dover, 1.5 for Chelmsford City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.63. For a bigger price, Dover to win at 3.00 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chelmsford City to win ✓ | 42% | 2.41 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City ✓ | 24% | 4.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.45 | – |
Form
Dover – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Salisbury | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Dorking Wanderers | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Dorking Wanderers | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Hanwell Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs AFC Totton | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Folkestone Invicta | 4–2 | W |
Chelmsford City – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Tonbridge Angels | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Wimborne Town | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Chesham United | 5–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Brackley Town | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Horsham | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Canvey Island | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dover and Chelmsford City.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dover vs Chelmsford City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Dover vs Chelmsford City?
On our numbers Dover have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelmsford City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Dover vs Chelmsford City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Dover vs Chelmsford City?
Dover vs Chelmsford City (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.