National League South · England · York RoadMaidenhead vs Horsham prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Value bet: Horsham to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.2 – 1.1 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Maidenhead and Horsham on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Maidenhead have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Horsham have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Horsham come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Maidenhead, 1.1 for Horsham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.78. For a bigger price, Horsham to win at 3.30 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Maidenhead to win ✗ | 42% | 2.41 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead ✗ | 23% | 4.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.43 | – |
Form
Maidenhead – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Ebbsfleet United | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Maidstone Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Tonbridge Angels | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Chesham United | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Ebbsfleet United | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Billericay Town | 2–2 | D |
Horsham – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Walton & Hersham | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Ebbsfleet United | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Slough Town | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Maidstone Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Plymouth Parkway | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Chelmsford City | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Horsham.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Horsham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Horsham?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Horsham 35%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Horsham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Maidenhead vs Horsham?
Maidenhead vs Horsham (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.