Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Torquay to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorquay to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceTorquay or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.69
AFC Totton vs Torquay preview and prediction
The match
Torquay travel to face AFC Totton in the National League South on Tuesday 27 October (20:45 WAT). AFC Totton are 16th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Torquay sit 14th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AFC Totton's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Hemel Hempstead Town 3–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Torquay's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Maidstone Utd 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Torquay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for AFC Totton and 2.0 for Torquay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Totton 16%, draw 21%, Torquay 63%.
Safer route: Torquay or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Torquay to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Torquay or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Totton 0–1 Torquay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Totton16%fair 6.24 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Torquay63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
2.84Expected goals
0.87AFC Totton xG
1.97Torquay xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: AFC Totton 0.9 – 2.0 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torquay to win✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Torquay or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Torquay ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torquay / FT Torquay✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
AFC Totton – last 6
WLLLLL
24 Oct
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Folkestone Invicta
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–5
L
10 Oct
vs Walton & Hersham
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Dover
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Gloucester City
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torquay – last 6
DLWWLW
24 Oct
vs Maidstone Utd
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Slough Town
5–1
W
3 Oct
@ Tonbridge Angels
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Billericay Town
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs AFC Stoneham
6–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Totton and Torquay.
Our pick is Torquay or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Totton vs Torquay?
On our numbers AFC Totton have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torquay 63%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Totton vs Torquay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Totton vs Torquay?
Our predicted score is AFC Totton 0–1 Torquay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AFC Totton vs Torquay?
AFC Totton vs Torquay (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
