National League North · England · The Brewery FieldSpennymoor Town vs Spalding United prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 2.40 – our chance 49% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Spennymoor Town 1.1 – 1.5 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Spalding United shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 30% for Spennymoor Town.
Spennymoor Town have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Spalding United have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. Spalding United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 for Spennymoor Town, 1.5 for Spalding United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Spalding United to win at 2.40 is our value angle (49% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Spalding United to win ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | 2.40 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United ✗ | 28% | 3.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.96 | – |
Form
Spennymoor Town – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Hereford | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Hednesford Town | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Bedford Town | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Oxford City | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Aug | @ Scarborough Athletic | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Merthyr Town | 2–1 | W |
Spalding United – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Southport | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ South Shields | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Worksop Town | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Chester | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs Macclesfield | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Oxford City | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spennymoor Town and Spalding United.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
On our numbers Spennymoor Town have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spalding United 49%.
How many goals will there be in Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United?
Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Brewery Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.