Value bet: South Shields to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Shields to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Morecambe vs South Shields preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Morecambe take on South Shields on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Mazuma Stadium. Morecambe are 9th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while South Shields sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Morecambe's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Harborough Town 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
South Shields's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Chorley 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
South Shields arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Morecambe and 1.6 for South Shields. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Morecambe 22%, draw 14%, South Shields 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: South Shields to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Morecambe 0–1 South Shields. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morecambe22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Draw14%fair 7.29 · @3.45
South Shields64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
2.25Expected goals
0.69Morecambe xG
1.56South Shields xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Morecambe 0.7 – 1.6 South Shields expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Shields to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Shields / FT South Shields✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Morecambe – last 6
LDLDWD
15 Aug
@ Harborough Town
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Spennymoor Town
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Barrow
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs AFC Fylde
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Bamber Bridge
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Carlisle
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
South Shields – last 6
WWWLLW
15 Aug
vs Chorley
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Scarborough Athletic
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Gateshead
4–1
W
21 Jul
vs Harrogate Town
1–2
L
9 May
vs Kidderminster Harriers
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Macclesfield
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and South Shields.
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs South Shields?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Morecambe vs South Shields?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and South Shields 64%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs South Shields?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs South Shields?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 0–1 South Shields, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs South Shields?
Morecambe vs South Shields (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
