Hednesford Town vs Southport prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHednesford Town to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Hednesford Town vs Southport preview and prediction
The match
Hednesford Town host Southport in the National League North on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Hednesford Town are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Southport sit 23rd on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hednesford Town's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Scarborough Athletic 3–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Southport's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Buxton 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Hednesford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Hednesford Town and 1.5 for Southport. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hednesford Town 45%, draw 21%, Southport 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hednesford Town 1–1 Southport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hednesford Town45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.45
Southport34%fair 2.93 · @2.95
3.31Expected goals
1.79Hednesford Town xG
1.52Southport xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 1.8 – 1.5 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hednesford Town to win✗
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hednesford Town / FT Hednesford Town✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
Hednesford Town – last 6
LLWLWW
15 Aug
vs Scarborough Athletic
3–4
L
8 Aug
@ Merthyr Town
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Boston United
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Solihull Moors
1–2
L
28 Apr
vs Stockton Town
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ United of Manchester
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southport – last 6
DLDWLL
15 Aug
vs Buxton
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Hebburn Town
1–3
L
31 Jul
vs Wigan
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs United of Manchester
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Macclesfield
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Southport.
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Southport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Southport?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southport 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Southport?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hednesford Town vs Southport?
Our predicted score is Hednesford Town 1–1 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hednesford Town vs Southport?
Hednesford Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
