Marine host Chorley in the National League North on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Rossett Park. Marine are 16th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Chorley sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Marine's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Hereford 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chorley's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to South Shields 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Marine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Marine 2–1 Chorley.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Marine and 1.1 for Chorley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marine 41%, draw 23%, Chorley 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Marine 1–1 Chorley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marine41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Chorley36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
2.36Expected goals
1.23Marine xG
1.13Chorley xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Marine 1.2 – 1.1 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Marine vs Chorley?
On our numbers Marine have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chorley 36%.
How many goals will there be in Marine vs Chorley?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marine vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is Marine 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marine vs Chorley?
Marine vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
